***World Warz II Game Thread***

Forum for NHR "Wars" Games
columbia
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by columbia »

ulf wrote:Wait, am I really explaining this?
No, because you're wrong. :wink:
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by Sam's Drunk Dog »

Bomb shad

If my memory serves me, the player that starts a random vote has turned out to be red most often which is why shad gets my vote.

As for probability, would the number of players in each game effect the odds of being chosen as a red player for both?
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by mac5155 »

so by your reasoning the P(me being red last game) = 0, and P(me being red this game) = 3/18. P(lg) * p(tg) = 0. Sweet.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by dodint »

Such bad reasoning. Wow.

I was blue last time. Killed off prematurely by a ignorant angry mob, mind you. Does that make me more or less likely to be blue in this game?
columbia
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by columbia »

mac5155 wrote:so by your reasoning the P(me being red last game) = 0, and P(me being red this game) = 3/18. P(lg) * p(tg) = 0. Sweet.
The probability of you being red in both games is in fact 0, since you weren't in the last game.
ulf
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by ulf »

This is too much lol
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by Benny Fitz »

ulf wrote:While your match is correct, it's only relevant if we were at the beginning of last game thinking, "what are the odds rel is red this game and the next one?" since that game is over, it's moot.

Sure, flipping heads twice in a row is a 25 percent chance, but once you do it the first time, it's 50 percent you're gonna do it again. Wait, am I really explaining this?
good explaination...and if you turely believe what you said here:
ulf wrote:Always intrigues me when people go against the random vote, there's really nothing to go on yet. Also the stats are irrelevant to this single game.

then you should be strongly considering columbia at this point...or voting on rel yourself.
columbia
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by columbia »

The point is is that we have a nearly 97% chance of killing a villager, if we voter out rel.
Ultimately first day kills don't really matter, but let's not pretend that it's a good choice....at all.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by columbia »

columbia wrote:The point is is that we have a nearly 97% chance of killing a villager, if we voter out rel.
Ultimately first day kills don't really matter, but let's not pretend that it's a good choice....at all.
Killing a non-red, I should say.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by Benny Fitz »

can i be excused from typos?
ulf
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by ulf »

columbia wrote:The point is is that we have a nearly 97% chance of killing a villager, if we voter out rel.
Ultimately first day kills don't really matter, but let's not pretend that it's a good choice....at all.
Except you're wrong.

Yellow columbia
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by PensFanInDC »

Benny Fitz wrote:can i be excused from typos?
Ill allow it.

On mobile for the moment if someone wants to update the vote count.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by ulf »

I guess I should add to un-bomb dodint, color plz
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by mac5155 »

ulf wrote:I guess I should add to un-bomb dodint, color plz
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by Benny Fitz »

PensFanInDC wrote:
Benny Fitz wrote:can i be excused from typos?
Ill allow it.

On mobile for the moment if someone wants to update the vote count.
You are a most benevolent mod. :)
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by dodint »

Vote Count

dodint - 3 (shaf, columbia, mac5155)
Shaf - 2 (relantel, SDD)
relantel - 5 (Benny Fitz, Crankshaft, Cbear, dodint, Troy Loney)
columbia - 1 (ulf)

9 to bomb
relantel
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by relantel »

mac5155 wrote:Playing this game in maxthon theme is yard. yellow on white doesn't mix. I dont think rel should go this early.

bomb dodint
I should try a warz game in the normal theme. Wonder how different it would be? (In Maxthon, have to highlight the yellow text with mouse to see who the vote was on)
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by shafnutz05 »

I think there is a lot of purposeful confusion being lobbed about right now.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by the wicked child »

Hmm. I don't like voting the noob out on day one again... People can't get experience if they don't play. I also don't like the idea losing rel this early.

Warz is a cold mistress I'm afraid. Gotta go with bomb dodint. Color please.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by dodint »

Like a vote for rel is a 97% chance of killing a non-red based on rel having a role in the last game? You mean you don't find that terribly convincing?
mac5155
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by mac5155 »

dodint wrote:Like a vote for rel is a 97% chance of killing a non-red based on rel having a role in the last game? You mean you don't find that terribly convincing?
Even though I feel this is sarcasm, I don't. I do, however, think freaking out with there are 4 votes on you, more convincing.
columbia
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by columbia »

the wicked child wrote:Gotta go with bomb dodint. Color please.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by canaan »

bomb rel
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by Benny Fitz »

my 1052 posts (now 1053) have pretty much exclusively been in warz games. in all those games i've never seen anyone use this line of reasoning, and columbia has been in a lot of them. I'm fairly certain he's applying the 'math' incorrectly and am also suspicious of why he would lobby sooo hard with this new approach all of the sudden....and on day 1 no less.
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Re: ***World Warz II Game Thread***

Post by dodint »

Same. The only reason I don't feel bad about voting rel is that they're both probably red.