History Mafia -- GAME THREAD

[Zarovich]

hmm, ok... I didn't notice this... IE was the town role blocker was converted to the mafia DEPUTY. i didn't even think that that means she's not the role blocker... she's the new seer.

ok, that shoots my dual role blocker theory out the window if this is true...

meh, how about a npv vote?

so now you think bhaw is good?

Only if cupkeeper is bad. He may have thought this up to screw my theory, my vote is still on him.

[bhaw]

Ok, with 4 mafia left and 1 good rp, what could the possible mafia roles be now?

1 Godfather, 1 Deputy, 1 Role Blocker and the last Doctor/reg mafia. Not sure on the last one.

who cares what the roles are at this point? Take out ie, let me die (probably for real this time ) and go from there.

[Zarovich]

The mafia could also consist of 1 godfather, 2 roleblockers, and 1 doctor/reg mafia

or

1 godfather, 1 roleblocker, 1 joat and 1 doctor/reg mafia

oh hell, they could have a bomb too.

I'm starting to overthink now...

[bhaw]

Roles don't matter... but you are right, there could be a bomb, a regular dude, whatever. I doubt they got 2 role blockers. I'd never be able to see anything if that were the case.

[bhaw]

Refer to Occam's Razor on this one.

[Zarovich]

Let's get a quiet person!!

[Zarovich]

Refer to Occam's Razor on this one.

At this point, we don't have enough to vote ie out without some baddies voting for her. Is there only 3 actual votes at this point?

[bhaw]

Let's get a quiet person!!

IE is quiet and bad. She would be a pretty solid choice. Just throwing that out there.

[bhaw]

Refer to Occam's Razor on this one.

At this point, we don't have enough to vote ie out without some baddies voting for her. Is there only 3 actual votes at this point?

well it makes a lot of sense to keep votes on me and wait for the mafia to log on and vote me

[Zarovich]

Let's get a quiet person!!

IE is quiet and bad. She would be a pretty solid choice. Just throwing that out there.

what I worry about voting her is that she is the nurse and you are getting us to whack the last good rp. however, I think she would have said something by now.

[bhaw]

IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad. IE is bad.

[bhaw]

Let's get a quiet person!!

IE is quiet and bad. She would be a pretty solid choice. Just throwing that out there.

what I worry about voting her is that she is the nurse and you are getting us to whack the last good rp. however, I think she would have said something by now.

So basically you're saying that if IE logs in and say's "i'm the nurse," you're going to believe her? Convenient...

cue IE to log on in 3...2...1...

[Zarovich]

I don't think I will believe anyone that claims to be a good rp at this point.

I'm trying to figure how to get the most information out of this lynch today.

[Zarovich]

unlynch bhaw

This does not mean I think he is good, I just don't see anything happenning during the game.

[mac5155]

bhaw - 1

IrishEyes - 1

[Zarovich]

bhaw - 1

IrishEyes - 1

don't crayz and cupkeeper have votes on bhaw?

[mac5155]

my fault. yes

2 - bhaw
1 - IrishEyes

[bhaw]

once there was this girl who
wouldn't post in this thread even though she's in the chat room
but when they finally made her
they found, she was the mafia deputy
she couldn't quite explain it
they just converted her

mmm mmm mmm mmm

[Zarovich]

Where are the other seven people playing...

[Zarovich]

maybe it's me and the other four of you posting are mafia

[relantel]

I think Zaro is good. bhaw can be blocked again tonight, so it stands to reason as the last town RP he is the only possible target. Someone else pointed this out on page 74, I think.

I'll be back after the game to assess things from here. Still have my eye on troy loney, and I have some question about cup keeper and IE.

[crayz]

so....do we take IE in hopes it doesn't block bhaw then?

unlynch bhaw
lynch ie

[PensFanInDC]

Man this is so confusing.

On one hand, lynching bhaw can give us the ID of at least 2 villagers, both of which are probably bad.

lynching IE could clear bhaw and nab a mafia but will probably spell the end of bhaw.

To me it looks like worst case scenario is that we lose our last RP and kill 2 mafia or lynch who we hope is mafia (based on bhaws comments) and then lose our last RP at night.

Wars games are basically broken down into 3 periods:

Period 1 - Random, lynch nan/thg, crapshhot
Period 2 - Posting patterns are evolving and evidence comes to light. More serious voting
Period 3 - Numbers game. Gotta gamble sometimes to swing the game in your favor OR play it safe and hope your just as lucky

So, what do we want to do? Play it safe and hope for a get 1 lose 1 scenario or gamble and hope to lose 1 get 2.

I need to think on this some more.

[PensFanInDC]

Actually...

worst case scenario really is bhaw is mafia and IE is good and we lose a villager and the mafia kills again tonight before we can lynch bhaw (which we WILL DO if IE is good) tomorrow.

I think im leaning towards bhaw being good.

[count2infinity]

just so i have this right bhaw, this is your investigation history...

night 1 - blocked
night 2 - dagny= mason (died that night)
night 3 - blocked
night 4 - redwill = normal mafia
night 5 - Litt = blue (turned out to be correct)
night 6 - crayz = blue
night 7 - blocked (first night after you came out)
night 8 - IE = bad role blocker, then you say you went back and reread the PM and say she's the deputy after i brought up the point that if you say she's the role blocker it's dumb for the mafia to keep you around as you outed her so she is essentially useless to the mafia as we can vote her out today and she can't block you tonight then?

is this correct?