FLPensFan wrote:Matt Vensel of the PG has a new article on the Murray/Jarry decision coming this summer. Included in the article is some feedback from former goalies/analysts Brian Boucher and Corey Hirsch, as well as former player/agent/GM Brian Lawton. I thought there was some really good info in this article, and takes from former goalies and current analysts. Some of the highlights, as well as a link to the full article below:
Skills wise:
Boucher on Murray taking a step forward after Fleury dealt: “If you’re asking if he took a step forward, I would say no, he did not,” said NBC Sports analyst Brian Boucher, the former Philadelphia Flyers goalie, last week.
Lawton on Murray: “I thought he would really run with things and be a goaltender that plays 60-plus games. That hasn’t happened yet. That doesn’t mean it can’t happen,” said NHL Network analyst Brian Lawton, the former NHL player, GM and agent. “He’s a year from [unrestricted free agency]. So that’s going to make this situation dicey for Jim Rutherford and the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
Corey Hirsch on Murray's playoff ability: “Pretty damn good, obviously,” Sportsnet analyst and ex-NHL goalie Corey Hirsch said. “He’s like Gerry Cheevers and Billy Smith. They were very average regular season goalies but when the Cup was on the line, you wanted one of those two guys in your net. His regular seasons have been very inconsistent.”
Boucher said opponents pick up on vulnerabilities and goalies must adapt. Murray’s glove remains an issue, though that’s common for bigger butterfly goalies. He’s not the smoothest while moving side to side. And when his confidence in himself or his teammates wanes, he tends to drift deeper into his crease.
“There’s been changes [to the NHL’s style of play] that haven’t exactly helped Matt Murray,” Hirsch said. “He’s got a pretty wide stance and the game’s become quicker and more lateral. So he might have to make some tweaks.”
“I don’t have any question that Matt Murray has the capability to win the big game. He’s proven it twice now,” Boucher said. “But I think he is a guy that needs to share the load during the regular season. [The regular season] is a whole different animal. It’s a big process to go through to get to [the playoffs].”
Contract value for Murray:
“If I was [his agent] a few months ago, I would have been screaming ‘Vasilevskiy’ as a comparable,” Lawton said. “You can say his numbers are better, his team is better. But you can also answer back that Matt has two Stanley Cups.”
“I’m all for goalies getting paid because I was one,” Hirsch said, chuckling. “But Matt Murray didn’t do himself any favors this year. He just didn’t. So you can’t give him that kind of money in my eyes. He’s going to have to back it up. He’s put himself in a position where he’s got to prove that he’s still what he was.”
Boucher, pointing to Murray’s injury history as one reason for the Penguins to be hesitant, wondered if they would even be willing to top $6 million a year. “In a perfect world, you’d keep Murray and Jarry as a great 1A-1B combination. I think that would be the best scenario going forward,” Boucher said. “But you just wonder if that’s something Matt Murray wants to do. ‘Do I want to get paid or do I want to be on a [contender] but I may share the workload?’”
The NHL is trending toward timeshares, anyway. Last season, only 10 goalies made 55 starts or more. Minnesota’s Devan Dubnyk led the league with 66.
Precedent has been set that if a goalie starts fewer than 41 games in a season, he is considered a backup. So Jarry, who turns 25 later this month, may be looking at a short-term deal between $2 million and $3 million in arbitration.
On trading Murray:
“If you have enough confidence in Tristan, you could probably get some pretty good players for Matt Murray. I think you can, anyway,” Hirsch said. “If you’re Buffalo, Murray is 25 years old. He’s got seven or eight pretty good years more in him. He’s a competitive guy. I would take a chance on that. Why not?”
“He’s really talented. I love the way he handles the puck,” Boucher said. “He seems to be a pretty calm kid, seems pretty business-like. He’s progressing along nicely. … It would be interesting to see if he was handed the keys to the car, could he be the guy that can carry them? I certainly think he has the ability.” He added: “My only question about him is handling the increased workload.”
“You could still have another season with these two guys together,” Hirsch said. “Eventually, one is going to have to go. That’s inevitable. But when is that?”
https://www.post-gazette.com/sports/penguins/2020/04/13/pittsburgh-penguins-goalies-matt-murray-tristan-jarry-nhl-offseason-trade-rumors-jim-rutherford/stories/202004130060
Cow_Master66 wrote:I've been in Murray's camp from the beginning, and honestly believe he will have a long and good (maybe great) career....But at this point, I think we've passed the statute of limitation on his Dad's passing. I do believe this had a tremendous impact on him, and far be it from me to minimize it, but I don't think it should be part of the conversation any more.
I have a feeling the bigger impact, at this stage, are the rumors around his practice habits.
I'm on his side and wish him much success (hopefully this year in Pittsburgh).
FLPensFan wrote:I think there's a combination of a lot of things here with Murray.
--His dad's passing had an effect on him. Who am I to judge how long or the level, but, in general terms, if that's still an issue, that's a problem.
--Maybe he's just not a great first half/regular season goalie, like was referenced above Cheevers and Billy Smith
--The concern for me is, his numbers, both regular season and playoffs, have declined each year. They rebounded a little bit last season with a strong 2nd half, but in simple terms, his GAA and SV% have trended downward year over year.
--Also as stated above, the league is trending towards more towards goalie tandems. Usually not 50/50, but even 60/40 is significant compared to a true starter.
My bottom with Murray is, there may be other comparables out there, but, I'm not sure teams paying goalies 8M and above is very smart. You better be THE BEST, or top 5 year after year, and, I've seen several graphs and data showing that a lot of the higher paid goalies are continually getting outperformed by younger, cheaper goalies. I don't dislike Murray as a goalie, but, I don't want to pay him what he thinks he deserves. With Crosby, Malkin, Letang, Guentzel....plus guys like Marino and McCann and Rust needing new deals soon, I would not be interested in dumping 8M (even 6M) into Matt Murray.
Trade him and get a 1st and a good young player. There are other options at the position.
Daniel wrote:FLPensFan wrote:I think there's a combination of a lot of things here with Murray.
--His dad's passing had an effect on him. Who am I to judge how long or the level, but, in general terms, if that's still an issue, that's a problem.
--Maybe he's just not a great first half/regular season goalie, like was referenced above Cheevers and Billy Smith
--The concern for me is, his numbers, both regular season and playoffs, have declined each year. They rebounded a little bit last season with a strong 2nd half, but in simple terms, his GAA and SV% have trended downward year over year.
--Also as stated above, the league is trending towards more towards goalie tandems. Usually not 50/50, but even 60/40 is significant compared to a true starter.
My bottom with Murray is, there may be other comparables out there, but, I'm not sure teams paying goalies 8M and above is very smart. You better be THE BEST, or top 5 year after year, and, I've seen several graphs and data showing that a lot of the higher paid goalies are continually getting outperformed by younger, cheaper goalies. I don't dislike Murray as a goalie, but, I don't want to pay him what he thinks he deserves. With Crosby, Malkin, Letang, Guentzel....plus guys like Marino and McCann and Rust needing new deals soon, I would not be interested in dumping 8M (even 6M) into Matt Murray.
Trade him and get a 1st and a good young player. There are other options at the position.
I think that's the bottom line. We can go back and forth on practice habits, dad's death, slow starter, etc. but I think it boils down to this. In terms of asset moving forward, I think Jarry has either caught or passed Murray, either way it's close. In terms of trade return, JR can sell Murray high based on age and playoff resume. Maybe not as high as 1-2 years ago, but he hasn't been so horrible that JR is selling at bottom of barrel prices. Jarry moving forward might be as good, but teams will be paying for potential with him whereas Murray has a track record.
Also, I think Murray would want double the salary as Jarry and isn't twice the goalie. When looking at trade return, salary cap value, on ice production combined, Jarry/DeSmith >>>>>>>> Murray/DeSmith. Presuming Jarry or Murray goes. Could sign Murray to a 1 year deal to get him to UFA, though not really wise for either party just pointing it out as an option.
Still like Murray to Edmonton for a 1st and prospect.
FLPensFan wrote:Daniel wrote:FLPensFan wrote:I think there's a combination of a lot of things here with Murray.
--His dad's passing had an effect on him. Who am I to judge how long or the level, but, in general terms, if that's still an issue, that's a problem.
--Maybe he's just not a great first half/regular season goalie, like was referenced above Cheevers and Billy Smith
--The concern for me is, his numbers, both regular season and playoffs, have declined each year. They rebounded a little bit last season with a strong 2nd half, but in simple terms, his GAA and SV% have trended downward year over year.
--Also as stated above, the league is trending towards more towards goalie tandems. Usually not 50/50, but even 60/40 is significant compared to a true starter.
My bottom with Murray is, there may be other comparables out there, but, I'm not sure teams paying goalies 8M and above is very smart. You better be THE BEST, or top 5 year after year, and, I've seen several graphs and data showing that a lot of the higher paid goalies are continually getting outperformed by younger, cheaper goalies. I don't dislike Murray as a goalie, but, I don't want to pay him what he thinks he deserves. With Crosby, Malkin, Letang, Guentzel....plus guys like Marino and McCann and Rust needing new deals soon, I would not be interested in dumping 8M (even 6M) into Matt Murray.
Trade him and get a 1st and a good young player. There are other options at the position.
I think that's the bottom line. We can go back and forth on practice habits, dad's death, slow starter, etc. but I think it boils down to this. In terms of asset moving forward, I think Jarry has either caught or passed Murray, either way it's close. In terms of trade return, JR can sell Murray high based on age and playoff resume. Maybe not as high as 1-2 years ago, but he hasn't been so horrible that JR is selling at bottom of barrel prices. Jarry moving forward might be as good, but teams will be paying for potential with him whereas Murray has a track record.
Also, I think Murray would want double the salary as Jarry and isn't twice the goalie. When looking at trade return, salary cap value, on ice production combined, Jarry/DeSmith >>>>>>>> Murray/DeSmith. Presuming Jarry or Murray goes. Could sign Murray to a 1 year deal to get him to UFA, though not really wise for either party just pointing it out as an option.
Still like Murray to Edmonton for a 1st and prospect.
Murray to Buffalo straight up for Sam Reinhart. Or Murray to Buffalo for Jake McCabe and a 1st/2nd.
I could care less about him going West to not face him. With other players, but goalies...these guys have practiced against Murray for years. They probably know Murray better than half the goalies in their own division. I'd want to play him as much as possible.
Skatingpen wrote:Really think they could get a 1st for Murray?
Skatingpen wrote:Really think they could get a 1st for Murray?
100565 wrote:Getting rid of Kahun in the manner they did gave me concern they were afraid of Kahun's cap hit this summer. (I think Kahun gets at least $2.5mil - before the c word; obviously things have changed.). The thought came to mind that they moved Kahun for depth this season and cap space this summer to re-sign both Murray and Jarry. Unless the combined total cap for the two is less than $8mil (again, pre c word), I think it would be a mistake.
I think they need to gauge trade values of both of them. Evaluate cap room. Then make a decision.
I have a hard time with trade values for either player. Goalies are always hard to predict.
FLPensFan wrote:100565 wrote:Getting rid of Kahun in the manner they did gave me concern they were afraid of Kahun's cap hit this summer. (I think Kahun gets at least $2.5mil - before the c word; obviously things have changed.). The thought came to mind that they moved Kahun for depth this season and cap space this summer to re-sign both Murray and Jarry. Unless the combined total cap for the two is less than $8mil (again, pre c word), I think it would be a mistake.
I think they need to gauge trade values of both of them. Evaluate cap room. Then make a decision.
I have a hard time with trade values for either player. Goalies are always hard to predict.
I think a big thing that scared the Penguins off with Kahun was aribitration. Kahun is in that range where, if he goes to arbitration versus working out a deal with the team, he could be awarded a salary higher than what the Penguins want to pay, but also low enough that the Penguins can't walk away from his award.
That puts them in a tight bind, and, if they had to move Kahun at that point, teams know the bind they are in and they probably wouldn't get much more than a late round pick.
There's probably some concern like that with McCann as well, but, I think they like his game more and are willing to take the risk. For whatever reason, I don't think they thought Kahun meshed as well as they thought he would.
Ericf wrote:Matt Vensel was on the PG’s hockey podcast today saying that Murray wants more than what Gibson is getting, which is $6.4 mil per year
Jim wrote:Ericf wrote:Matt Vensel was on the PG’s hockey podcast today saying that Murray wants more than what Gibson is getting, which is $6.4 mil per year
Na na na na, na na na na, hey hey hey, goodbye.
Ericf wrote:Matt Vensel was on the PG’s hockey podcast today saying that Murray wants more than what Gibson is getting, which is $6.4 mil per year
Jim wrote:Ericf wrote:Matt Vensel was on the PG’s hockey podcast today saying that Murray wants more than what Gibson is getting, which is $6.4 mil per year
Na na na na, na na na na, hey hey hey, goodbye.
Ericf wrote:Matt Vensel was on the PG’s hockey podcast today saying that Murray wants more than what Gibson is getting, which is $6.4 mil per year
thehockeyguru wrote:Jim wrote:Ericf wrote:Matt Vensel was on the PG’s hockey podcast today saying that Murray wants more than what Gibson is getting, which is $6.4 mil per year
Na na na na, na na na na, hey hey hey, goodbye.
This is the perfect opportunity to get a RHD to replace Letang. Not long ago Calgary offered Dougie Hamilton for Murray, I'd want something like that in a deal. That gives GMJR the ability to move Letang and reshape the D.
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